农村劳动力供给与回忆窗口敏感性

Rural Labor Supply and Recall Window Sensitivity

World Bank Economic Review · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过马拉维农村家庭面板数据的调查实验,发现年度回忆相比季度回忆使报告劳动参与和月数减少20%,且回忆窗口选择显著影响劳动供给与教育关系的估计。

Abstract

Abstract Lack of availability of administrative records on informal and seasonal labor participation dictates reliance on self-reported measures in many rural settings in developing countries. A common survey approach relies on annual recall to capture labor activities. Using a panel of rural households in Malawi, this study conducts a survey experiment to test the effect of annual recall on reported labor supply relative to quarterly interviews using ninety-day recall windows. Annual recall reduces reported labor participation and months worked by 20 percent. These reductions are greater for activities further in the past and when labor supply is reported by proxy. The profile of households’ primary respondents, predominantly male and older, can induce meaningful biases against women and youth. The study additionally shows that recall window choice can significantly alter estimates of the relationship between labor supply and education. These findings are especially relevant for impact evaluations and studies with constrained sample sizes.

劳动供给回忆窗口敏感性年度回忆偏差代理报告偏差