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气候风险与生物多样性暴露

Climate risk and biodiversity exposure

Economics Letters · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

使用DCC-MGARCH模型研究欧盟、美国和英国的气候与生物多样性风险对金融压力的影响,发现严格环境政策短期增加压力但长期降低压力,且波动溢出效应显示全球金融系统高度互联。

Abstract

• Climate policies initially increase financial stress due to uncertainty and adjustment costs. • Over time, as markets adapt, these policies reduce financial stress, enhancing stability. • Persistent volatility spillovers indicate strong interconnectedness among financial systems. • Climate-related shocks are systemic, affecting multiple markets simultaneously. This study investigates the impact of climate and biodiversity-related risks on financial stress in the EU, USA, and UK using the DCC-MGARCH model. The results indicate that stringent environmental policies initially increase financial stress in the short term, however, these effects diminish over time, leading to reductions in stress by promoting sustainable growth. Persistent volatility spillovers across regions highlight the interconnectedness of global financial systems and the systemic nature of climate-related shock. Although there is short-term volatility, markets generally stabilize as policy impacts become evident.

金融气候变化生物多样性系统性风险