通过成对似然截断的高维协方差估计

High-dimensional covariance estimation by pairwise likelihood truncation

Biometrika · 2025
被引 0
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种截断成对似然函数的方法来估计稀疏高维协方差矩阵,通过最小化成对似然与全似然得分的L2距离并加入L1惩罚,选择有信息的成对项,估计量一致且收敛到已知非零协方差项的oracle极大似然估计。

Abstract

Summary Pairwise likelihood is an approximation of the full likelihood function that facilitates the analysis of high-dimensional covariance models. By combining marginal bivariate likelihoods, it effectively simplifies high-dimensional dependencies, making the estimation process more manageable. We introduce estimation of sparse high-dimensional covariance matrices by maximizing a truncated version of the pairwise likelihood function, obtained by including pairwise terms corresponding to nonzero covariance elements. To achieve truncation, we propose a novel approach that minimizes the $ L_{2} $ distance between pairwise and full likelihood scores, supplemented by an $ L_{1} $ penalty to discourage the inclusion of uninformative terms. Unlike existing regularization methods, our criterion emphasizes the selection of entire pairwise likelihood objects instead of shrinking individual covariance parameters, thus preserving the unbiasedness of the pairwise likelihood estimating equations. The resulting pairwise likelihood estimator is consistent and converges to the oracle maximum likelihood estimator, which assumes prior knowledge of nonzero covariance entries, even as the data dimension increases exponentially with the sample size.

高维统计协方差估计成对似然稀疏矩阵正则化方法