Inference on strongly identified functionals of weakly identified functions
针对非参数工具变量、存在未测量混杂的近端因果推断等场景中，当干扰函数弱识别时，提出一种使连续线性泛函（如平均因果效应）强识别的条件，并构造去偏估计量以实现有效推断。
Abstract In a variety of applications, including nonparametric instrumental variable (NPIV) analysis, proximal causal inference under unmeasured confounding, and analysis of missing-not-at-random data with shadow variables, we are interested in inference on a continuous linear functional (e.g. average causal effects) of nuisance functions (e.g. NPIV regression) defined by conditional moment restrictions. These nuisance functions are often weakly identified, meaning the moment restrictions are ill-posed and may admit multiple solutions. This paper proposes a novel condition for the functional to be strongly identified (amenable to n) rate asymptotically normal estimation) even when the nuisance function remains weakly identified. The condition implies the existence of debiasing nuisance functions. We propose penalized minimax estimators for both the primary and debiasing nuisance functions. These estimators accommodate flexible function classes and, crucially, converge to fixed limits determined by the penalization, irrespective of the nuisances' identifiability. We use these penalized estimators to construct a debiased functional estimator and prove its asymptotic normality under general high-level conditions, leading to valid confidence intervals. Our method is illustrated in partially linear proximal causal inference and instrumental variable regression problems.