The Evaluation of Forecasting Method for Enteral and Formula Food Supply to Support Inventory Management System Hospital
研究了医院营养科六种产品的需求预测方法，发现简单指数平滑法适用于四种产品，移动平均法适用于两种产品，并应用定期盘点法计算平均库存值，有效降低库存水平。
Hospital is one of the public facilit ies that can support human health. Hospital quality system is the main thing to consider in order provid ing satisfaction to the customers, especially in terms of logistics, not only med icine but also foods which always have a d irect contact with the patients. Inventory management system in supply chain management is one factor to control the quality of the food. This research aim is to select the appropriate method in demand forecasting to determine the nu mber of products purchased for use and stored in the warehouse. The results showed the nutrition installation depart ment should use simp le exponential smoothing (SES) method for Anlene, Ensure FOS, Hepatosol and Peptamen product, while the product Pediasure and Neosure should use the moving average method, because the error was less significant and the method was really fit, according to product demand co mpared to the other forecasting methods. This research is not only using time series for demand fo recasting, but also tries to apply the calculation of average inventory value. It uses for inventory management system to improve the warehouse system of nutrition installat ion department effect ively and efficiently. The calculat ion is using periodic review method, yielding an average inventory value is much smaller than the current situation.