动态条件相关模型的弱扩散极限

WEAK DIFFUSION LIMITS OF DYNAMIC CONDITIONAL CORRELATION MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2016
被引 18
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

推导了经典动态条件相关(DCC)模型修正版的弱扩散极限,发现其扩散矩阵秩不足,并指出常用QAML估计量在固定频率下不一致,但高频大样本下可近似。

Abstract

The properties of dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models, introduced more than a decade ago, are still not entirely known. This paper fills one of the gaps by deriving weak diffusion limits of a modified version of the classical DCC model. The limiting system of stochastic differential equations is characterized by a diffusion matrix of reduced rank. The degeneracy is due to perfect collinearity between the innovations of the volatility and correlation dynamics. For the special case of constant conditional correlations, a nondegenerate diffusion limit can be obtained. Alternative sets of conditions are considered for the rate of convergence of the parameters, obtaining time-varying but deterministic variances and/or correlations. A Monte Carlo experiment confirms that the often used quasi-approximate maximum likelihood (QAML) method to estimate the diffusion parameters is inconsistent for any fixed frequency, but that it may provide reasonable approximations for sufficiently large frequencies and sample sizes.

弱扩散极限动态条件相关模型随机微分方程降秩扩散矩阵