有限化石燃料开采能力下的内生增长

Endogenous growth with a limited fossil fuel extraction capacity

Canadian Journal of Economics · 2017
被引 7
ABS 3

中文导读

将有限的化石燃料开采能力及其投资纳入内生增长模型,分析其对经济发展的影响,发现开采能力约束可能抑制或促进长期消费,取决于资本禀赋和效应强度。

Abstract

Abstract Campbell (1980) and following authors have discussed a limited resource extraction capacity as an augmentation of the well‐known Hotelling model. We integrate a limited extraction capacity and related investments in the endogenous growth model of Tsur and Zemel (2005) to study its effect on economic development. The capacity constraint gives rise to three effects. On the one hand, higher energy costs and the reallocation of production towards capacity investments decrease production available for consumption, research and/or capital investments (energy costs and reallocation effect). On the other hand, research investments may increase, which boosts available production (research effect). Depending on the capital endowment and the strength of the effects, long‐run consumption may be boosted or depressed. In particular, the capacity constraint may render everlasting consumption growth non‐optimal in a resource‐rich economy. Furthermore, we find that capacity investments may be postponed to later points in time if the capital endowment is high.

内生增长理论资源经济学能源经济学经济增长