Decentralization and the Demand for Gasoline
通过实证模型分析城市空间结构(如居住与就业分布)对汽车出行次数和汽油消耗的影响,发现人口与就业集中度是关键变量,并指出国家能源政策应与城市土地利用政策协同制定。
An empirical model is used to determine the impact of alternative home-to-work spatial distributions and other characteristics of urban structure on auto work-trip generation and the impact of four spatially distinct auto work-trips on fuel consumption in the metropolitan area. The results suggest that spatial structure is an important determinant of fuel consumption and perpetuates the use of the automobile. The prinicpal variable in auto work-trip generation is found to be concentration of population and employment in a particular metropolitan area. Other variables include fuel price, availability of mass transit, and recent growth in the area. The results indicate that any long-run national energy policy should develop simultaneously with national urban land use policy. 14 references, 3 tables.