路易·巴舍利耶的《投机理论》:瓦尔拉斯一般均衡中缺失的一块

Louis Bachelier's Théorie de la Spéculation : The Missing Piece in Walras's General Equilibrium

Kyklos · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

重新审视巴舍利耶对经济分析的贡献,指出其工作旨在填补瓦尔拉斯一般均衡中缺失的期权市场定价理论,并提出了瓦尔拉斯-巴舍利耶跨期一般均衡模型。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We propose a revisited view of Louis Bachelier's contribution to economic analysis. Conventional wisdom presents Bachelier as the founding father of modern financial theory. We show that Bachelier's work is constructed to respond to a gap in the Walrasian general equilibrium, where the options market is verbosely introduced but not modeled. By providing a price formation theory for the missing options market, Bachelier presents himself as the heir apparent of the mathematical economics tradition founded by Walras. Indeed, Bachelier's methodological stance is clearly formed on the “rational method” of Walras, proceeding by mathematical demonstration from postulates that we make explicit. We show additionally how Walras and Bachelier in pre‐WW2 France reached the same audience. We propose to name this augmented general equilibrium model the Walras–Bachelier model of intertemporal general equilibrium in the presence of risk. This theory prefigures the Arrow–Debreu model, with some differences which we make clear.

投机理论瓦尔拉斯一般均衡期权市场