M分位数模型中的推断与诊断及其在小区域估计中的应用

Inference and diagnosis in M-quantile models with applications to small area estimation

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2025
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了M分位数回归模型在小区域估计中的推断与诊断问题,证明了区域特定系数的相合性,提出了基于残差和自举法的异常区域检测方法,并通过西班牙收入数据验证了其有效性。

Abstract

Abstract This paper advances the use of M-quantile (MQ) regression models in small area estimation, addressing issues related to inference and diagnosis in MQ models. First, we prove the consistency of the area-specific MQ coefficients, which are the equivalent of random effects in mixed models to capture the variability between areas. We then turn to the analysis of the residuals, approximating their distribution and drawing parallels with linear models. Finally, we estimate the distribution of the optimal robustness parameters for bias correction by bootstrap and present some empirical results. In this way, it is possible to formulate a test for the detection of atypical areas. Simulation experiments validate the methodology’s effectiveness for outlier detection and diagnostics. An application to Spanish income data illustrates the practical relevance of these methods, highlighting their value for targeted policy analysis and diagnostics.

小区域估计M分位数回归异常值检测稳健统计收入数据