面向因果的鲁棒性:利用一般噪声干预

Causality-Oriented Robustness: Exploiting General Noise Interventions

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2025
被引 0
ABS 4

中文导读

提出分布鲁棒性通过不变梯度(DRIG)方法,利用训练数据中的一般噪声干预来提升模型对未知干预的鲁棒预测能力,在线性设定下证明其有效性,并扩展到半监督领域自适应。

Abstract

Since distribution shifts are common in real-world applications, there is a pressing need to develop prediction models that are robust against such shifts. Existing frameworks, such as empirical risk minimization or distributionally robust optimization, either lack generalizability for unseen distributions or rely on postulated distance measures. Alternatively, causality offers a data-driven and structural perspective to robust predictions. However, the assumptions necessary for causal inference can be overly stringent, and the robustness offered by such causal models often lacks flexibility. In this article, we focus on causality-oriented robustness and propose Distributional Robustness via Invariant Gradients (DRIG), a method that exploits general noise interventions in training data for robust predictions against unseen interventions, and naturally interpolates between in-distribution prediction and causality. In a linear setting, we prove that DRIG yields predictions that are robust among a data-dependent class of distribution shifts. Furthermore, we show that our framework includes anchor regression as a special case, and that it yields prediction models that protect against more diverse perturbations. We establish finite-sample results and extend our approach to semi-supervised domain adaptation to further improve prediction performance. Finally, we empirically validate our methods on synthetic simulations and on single-cell and intensive health care datasets. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

因果推断鲁棒预测分布偏移机器学习