The economic geography of climate change: recent progress and open questions
综述了气候变化作为空间现象如何导致全球经济地理重新布局,指出近期模型预测空间不平等加剧但总体损失温和,并讨论了模型可能低估损失的若干因素。
Abstract Climate change is a spatial phenomenon, hurting some regions more than others. As a result, global warming will lead to a spatial reallocation of the world’s economic geography. Recent spatial integrated assessment models project substantial increases in spatial inequality while predicting modest aggregate losses. However, these global losses may be understated if models fail to account for multiple equilibria or migration-induced conflict. They may also be underestimated if models neglect spatial frictions due to stranded physical assets, endogenous migratory barriers, or moral hazard arising from the overprotection of vulnerable places.