Labor market effects of the Venezuelan refugee crisis in Brazil
利用巴西正规部门工人的行政面板数据，研究委内瑞拉难民涌入对罗赖马州本地工人工资和就业的影响，发现小时工资上升约2%，且未出现雇主解雇增加。
Abstract We use administrative panel data on the universe of Brazilian formal sector workers to investigate the labor market effects of the Venezuelan refugee crisis, focusing on Roraima state, which experienced a sharp, localized refugee inflow. Using difference-in-differences, we compare outcomes for Roraima workers to those from similar northern states without refugee arrivals. We find that the hourly wages of Brazilians in Roraima increased by approximately 2 per cent with no overall evidence of employer-initiated job separations. Wage gains were more pronounced in sector–occupation pairs with limited refugee presence and non-tradable sectors, consistent with demand-driven mechanisms. We also find suggestive evidence of labor complementarities.