保护主义与不平等

Protectionism and inequality

Review of Economic Dynamics · 2026
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了保护主义对不同技能水平工人的分配效应,发现保护主义降低技能溢价但增加高技能与低技能工人的就业比,并通过动态一般均衡模型解释其机制。

Abstract

This paper studies the distributional outcomes of protectionism. First, we investigate the short-run distributional effects on workers with different skill levels by estimating structural vector autoregressions (VARs) using high-frequency measures of temporary trade barriers for the United States. We then estimate a panel VAR for a sample of thirty-six countries using the applied tariff rates. Across our empirical exercises, we find robust evidence that protectionism reduces the skill premium but increases the employment ratio between high-skilled and low-skilled workers. To rationalize these findings, we build a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model featuring asymmetric search-and-matching (SAM) frictions, capital-skill complementarity (CSC) in production, and producer dynamics. Our model results replicate the empirical patterns. Our counterfactual analysis highlights the interaction between asymmetric SAM and CSC in qualitatively shaping the distributional patterns of protectionism, with producer dynamics magnifying these effects quantitatively.

保护主义技能溢价就业结构资本技能互补