Priming the pump: Does Black and Hispanic gentrification predict White gentrification?
利用美国人口普查和社区调查数据，研究发现黑人居民占50%以上且已发生中高收入黑人绅士化的社区，更可能随后出现白人绅士化，但这种“启动”效应随黑人比例上升而减弱；西班牙裔社区则仅在人口极高时，先前的西班牙裔绅士化才显著增加白人绅士化的可能性。
The discourse on gentrification, which centers on reinvestment in disadvantaged communities, often focuses on the influx of White residents into low-income Black and Hispanic neighborhoods. However, scholarly opinions diverge on the attractiveness of communities of color to White gentrifiers. This study aims to address this debate by utilizing US Census and American Community Survey data to identify the racial/ethnic factors influencing White-driven gentrification across the United States. Our findings indicate that neighborhoods that are at least 50% Black and have experienced gentrification by middle- or upper-income Black residents are more likely to see subsequent White gentrification. However, this “priming” effect weakens as the share of Black residents increases. In contrast, predominantly Hispanic neighborhoods, whether previously gentrified or not, have a chance of White gentrification. Only in neighborhoods with very high Hispanic populations does prior Hispanic gentrification significantly increase the likelihood of White gentrification.