分析师理性疏忽:来自CEO更替事件的证据

Analyst Rational Inattention: Evidence from CEO Turnover Events

Accounting Review · 2026
被引 0
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了分析师在投资组合中某公司发生CEO更替时如何重新分配注意力,发现他们会将注意力转向发生事件的公司,导致对未发生事件公司的关注减少、预测准确性下降,且这种下降与理性分配注意力的成本收益因素相关。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We consider the dynamics of analyst inattention by investigating how analysts allocate their attention when a firm in their portfolio experiences CEO turnover. Our analysis shows that analysts tend to divert their attention toward firms that experience such events, resulting in less attention and a corresponding reduction in forecasting accuracy for nonevent firms. Furthermore, this reduction in accuracy varies with factors related to the costs and benefits of rationally allocating attention to firms that have experienced CEO turnover. Collectively, our analysis responds to the call for research on rational inattention among analysts and illustrates the specific intraportfolio events that alter attention allocation and information. JEL Classifications: G10; G11; G17; G14; M12; M40; M41.

分析师理性注意力CEO变更注意力分配预测准确性