Can Autonomous Vehicles Solve the Commuter Parking Problem?
研究自动驾驶汽车如何改变早高峰通勤模式及中央商务区停车问题，发现所有自动驾驶通勤者可能选择在CBD外停车，增加系统总成本，并提出通过停车费、拥堵费或改造停车位来降低成本的措施。
This paper investigates how autonomous vehicles (AVs) may reshape morning commute travel patterns and impact parking in a central business district (CBD). We develop a continuous-time game-theoretic traffic model that takes into account key economic deterrents to driving, such as parking fees and traffic congestion, and characterize the departure time and parking location (inside or outside the CBD parking area) patterns of commuters in equilibrium. Our analysis shows that all AV commuters may choose to park outside the CBD in equilibrium, increasing both vehicle hours and vehicle miles traveled as compared with the case with all human-driven vehicles. This change increases the total system cost and suggests a potential for CBD land use changes (e.g., repurposing CBD parking spots as commercial and residential areas) after the mass adoption of AVs. To reduce the total system cost, an urban planner may regulate commuters’ decisions by adjusting parking fees and/or imposing congestion tolls as a short-term measure, or adjusting infrastructure, for example, converting CBD parking spaces to drop-off spots for AVs. Our results indicate that these measures can reduce the total system cost substantially (e.g., up to [Formula: see text] when calibrating our model to data from Pittsburgh). This paper was accepted by Chung Piaw Teo, optimization and decision analytics. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01213 .