当政治变得动荡:特朗普与泽连斯基对峙的股票市场反应

When politics turn volatile: Equity market responses to the Trump–Zelensky confrontation

Economics Letters · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究2025年2月28日特朗普与泽连斯基会面如何影响欧美股市,发现欧洲大陆市场出现小幅负面反应,而英国市场略有上涨,后续伦敦峰会后市场回调。

Abstract

This study analyzes how the 28 February 2025 Trump-Zelensky meeting affected European and U.S. stock markets. Event-day abnormal returns were modest and mostly negative across continental Europe, particularly in countries near Ukraine or reliant on Russian energy, while distant market such as the UK showed slight gains. Cumulative abnormal returns reflected delayed market adjustments to unexpected meeting developments, later reversing after Ukraine’s allies coordinated at the 2 March London summit. Regression analysis confirms geopolitical risk and negative media coverage reduce returns, with heightened effects during uncertainty. Media sentiment amplifies market reactions to geopolitical events.

政治经济学金融市场地缘政治风险事件研究