谁去投票?对一个老问题的新审视

Who turns out to vote? a fresh look into an old question

Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 10%
ABS 3

中文导读

利用意大利某城市的个人层面行政数据,研究收入冲击和族群多样性暴露对选举投票率的影响,发现正向收入冲击仅提高穷人投票率,而负向收入冲击和多样性冲击则降低投票率,且对低收入和老年穷人影响更大。

Abstract

Abstract Exploiting an individual-level administrative dataset in a large Italian municipality, we investigate the impact of income shocks and exposure to ethnic diversity on electoral turnout. A large positive income shock increases turnout only among the poor, while both adverse income and diversity shocks tend to dampen turnout. Estimates are larger at the lower tail of the income distribution, where a large negative income shock reduces turnout by 7.9%, and among poor elderly people, whose turnout drops by 13.5%. The entry of a populist party possibly induces a relative increase (decrease) in turnout among the poor (rich) who suffered an income loss.

投票率收入冲击族群多样性经济不平等