Productive public spending, knowledge spillovers and convergence: A multi-country analysis
构建多国AK模型研究生产性公共支出如何通过知识溢出影响增长与趋同,发现其仅对低于知识门槛的国家有增长效应,溢出在门槛处最大并随差距缩小而减弱。
This paper develops a multi-country AK model of endogenous growth with international knowledge transmission to study the impact of productive public expenditure on growth and convergence. A leader advances the global technology frontier, and followers benefit from spillovers only once their knowledge reaches a threshold. Productive public expenditure helps followers reach this threshold; once attained, their growth rate converges to the leader’s and spillover gains taper as the gap closes. Using dynamic heterogeneous panel models, we find evidence for this mechanism: productive public expenditure lifts growth only for countries consistently below the threshold, spillovers peak at the threshold, and they fade as economies near the frontier.