偏度何时在稳健库存管理中重要?

When does skewness matter in robust inventory management?

Production and Operations Management · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4

中文导读

研究了需求偏度对稳健库存管理的影响,提出联合优化方法直接得到闭式解,发现当需求有界或成本价格比低时,纳入偏度能提高利润,且最不利分布下预期利润随方差增加而随偏度减少。

Abstract

We investigate the impact of skewed demand on robust inventory management. Including skewness in calculations leads to cubic constraints that prevent a standard two-stage method from deriving an explicit and tractable objective function. To overcome this roadblock, we propose a joint optimization method to directly derive the robust solution in a closed form. The joint optimization method is widely applicable to various robust inventory models with different ambiguity sets. The notable advantage is that we can obtain the final solution without deriving the objective function, so many tedious intermediate steps are circumvented. We conduct numerical experiments on industry data to demonstrate that our moment-based policies deliver more consistent performance than divergence-based policies. After obtaining various closed-form solutions, we demonstrate that including skewness in the model improves the profit generated by the robust optimal order quantity if either demand is bounded or the cost-to-price ratio is low, even though the sample moments used may not equal the population moments. Furthermore, under these conditions in which skewness should be included in the calculations, the firm’s expected profit, under the most unfavorable distribution, increases with variance but decreases with skewness. This result stands in contrast to findings in the economics and finance literature, where distributional ambiguity is not considered.

库存管理稳健优化需求不确定性偏度