对极端温度的反应:移民网络与萨尔瓦多的国际移民

Responses to Extreme Temperatures: Migrant Networks and International Migration from El Salvador

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2026
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现极端温度显著增加萨尔瓦多的国际移民,因为高温导致玉米减产,农业收入下降,而美国已有的移民网络使移民变得可行。

Abstract

We show that exposure to extreme temperatures significantly increases international migration from El Salvador, where nearly a quarter of the population lives in the United States. Extreme temperatures reduce corn yields, leading producers to decrease their use of postharvest inputs and demand for agricultural workers. These income losses, combined with established US migration networks, increase emigration. Our findings highlight how international migration serves as a response to extreme temperatures when destination networks are strong and migration remains financially feasible. This pattern is not unique to El Salvador: Roughly 30 million farms globally are in low-income settings with access to remittances.

极端温度移民网络国际移民萨尔瓦多