向两极分化的选民进行竞选:真实选举活动中的情绪与信息

Campaigning to a Polarised Electorate: Emotions and Information in Real Election Campaigns

Economic Journal · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

通过与菲律宾主流反对党合作开展实地实验,研究发现即使在高度两极化的环境中,提供政策信息的面对面接触能增加政党得票,且不会加剧党派分歧。

Abstract

Abstract Political polarisation has reshaped electoral competition in many democracies, presenting traditional programmatic political parties with a dual challenge: finding ways to make policy-based campaigning resonate with voters without exacerbating partisan divisions. We partner with a mainstream opposition party to implement a field experiment during the 2019 Philippine Senatorial election to compare two common campaign strategies—direct policy-focused canvassing and an emotional engagement component—to assess both their electoral effects and their implications for polarisation. We find that, even in polarised contexts, in-person engagement providing policy information increases votes for the party. Both strategies increase learning, and importantly, neither strategy produces backlash among pro-incumbent voters; if anything, evidence suggests cross-cutting moderating effects. These results suggest that mainstream parties can communicate policy effectively even in highly polarised contexts, and that direct policy and emotional engagement need not exacerbate partisan divides.

政治极化竞选策略政策信息情感动员