Building Reputation: State-Sponsored Rebellions and Transnational Identities,
研究了国家通过支持国外叛乱来展示决心的声誉构建逻辑,发现当面对更多观众时,国家更可能支持外国群体的起义,进而促进该群体的政治包容。
Abstract States sometimes back rebellions abroad to signal resolve. We study this reputation-building logic in international relations, focusing on co-ethnic links between countries as an objective source of variation in a state‚s incentives to demonstrate resolve. We formally derive two interconnected predictions from the mechanism: (a) a state is more likely to endorse the uprising of a foreign group when facing a larger audience, resulting in (b) greater political inclusion for the group. We build a comprehensive panel dataset of co-ethnic rebellion sponsorship, and find evidence consistent with both predictions.