衡量特惠贸易协定中森林相关承诺的深度:森林条款深度指数

Measuring forest-related depth in preferential trade agreements: the forest provisions depth index

World Development · 2026
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

构建了森林条款深度指数(FPDI),从森林内容、实施能力和规范锚定三个维度衡量特惠贸易协定中森林相关承诺的深度,覆盖1947至2021年213个国家的778项协定,为研究贸易与森林关联提供了跨国比较基准。

Abstract

Trade agreements have become a vehicle for environmental commitments, but existing measures of environmental provisions in preferential trade agreements do not distinguish forest-specific content from general environmental architecture. This paper introduces the Forest Provisions Depth Index (FPDI), a composite indicator measuring the depth of forest-related commitments in preferential trade agreements across three dimensions: explicit forest content, implementation and compliance capacity, and normative anchoring. The index covers 778 agreements involving 213 countries from 1947 to 2021, uses geometric aggregation with a targeted discount when forest-specific clauses are absent, and is stock-based, accumulating provisions across a country’s in-force agreement portfolio. Country rankings are stable across 11 alternative weighting schemes, and the composite shows moderate correlation with a cumulative forest-clause count, indicating it captures treaty architecture beyond clause frequency. Panel estimates on 150 countries over 2002 to 2021 associate governance capacity, forest rents, and wood product imports with higher FPDI scores, while tree-cover loss and agricultural land expansion associate with lower scores. Persistent cross-country governance differences account for more FPDI variation than within-country changes, and agricultural expansion operates through the within-country margin. The FPDI provides a benchmark for cross-country comparison of treaty design and for research on trade-forest linkages.

森林条款深度指数优惠贸易协定森林环境承诺条约架构测度