The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs: Lessons from Brazil
研究巴西反倾销关税对就业的影响，发现关税保护了受保护行业的就业，但损害了下游企业就业，总体就业仅微增0.06%且带来福利损失。
Abstract How do import tariffs affect employment? We develop an empirical strategy to identify the effects of tariffs using a difference-in-differences strategy, comparing antidumping (AD) investigations resulting in AD tariffs to those not resulting in AD tariffs. We find that an AD tariff decreases imports and increases employment in the protected sector. Moreover, employment in downstream firms decreases, while upstream firms are unaffected because the protected sector sources inputs abroad. Using a model to quantify the aggregate effects, we find that the Brazilian AD policy increased employment by 0.06% at a welfare loss of 2.4%.