职业内部任务变化对工资增长有多重要?来自行政微观数据的证据

How important are within‐occupation task changes for wage growth? Evidence from administrative micro data

Economica · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

利用德国调查和行政数据,研究职业内部任务内容变化如何影响工资增长,发现初始常规密集型职业的工资惩罚因任务变化而异,任务调整是应对技术变革的重要机制。

Abstract

We examine how changes in task content over time condition occupational wage development. Using survey data from Germany, we document substantial heterogeneity in within‐occupation changes in task content. Combining this evidence with administrative data on individual employment outcomes over a 25‐year period, we find important heterogeneity in wage penalties amongst jobs that were initially routine‐task‐intensive. While occupations that remain (relatively) routine‐intensive generate substantial wage penalties, occupations with a decreasing routine intensity experience stable or even increasing wages. These findings suggest that changing task profiles of occupations is an important adaptation mechanism to technological change. They cannot be explained by composition or cohort effects.

劳动经济学工资增长任务变化技术变革