Assessing the Effectiveness of Workers' Selection Exams: The Case of the Bank of Italy
提出一种基于候选人表现建模的方法，评估高风险考试选拔高能力候选人的有效性，并以意大利银行竞争性考试为例，发现考试能选出能力较高者，但女性入选概率较低，模拟显示调整考试结构可提升选拔效果。
ABSTRACT High‐stakes exams can be used to rank and select candidates for job openings, and the ability of those selected hinges on the design of the exam. I propose a method to model candidates' performance to assess how effective the exam is at selecting high‐ability candidates. I showcase this method with the competitive exam of the Bank of Italy. This is also an interesting case to study discrimination, as women are selected with a lower probability than men. The results suggest that the exam tends to select those candidates with a higher ability level. Finally, some simulations show how certain modifications to the exam structure could potentially enhance the selection process by increasing the average ability of the selected candidates.