地理死亡率差异与数量-质量权衡

Geographic mortality differentials and the quality-quantity trade-off

Journal of Population Economics · 2026
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用19世纪亚美尼亚的历史数据,研究发现高海拔地区死亡率较低,居民数学能力更强、生育率更低,支持了寿命延长促使家庭从孩子数量转向质量投资的假说。

Abstract

Abstract This paper explores the relationship between geographic mortality differentials and human capital investment patterns in the Malthusian setup of 19th-century Armenia. We examine how variations in altitude are associated with mortality rates, human capital accumulation, and fertility decisions. Using detailed historical census and parish records, we document that higher-altitude areas tend to have lower population density, lower respiratory disease mortality, and lower overall mortality. Our empirical analysis also shows that individuals in these environments tend to display better numeracy skills and lower fertility rates. These findings align with the Ben-Porath hypothesis, suggesting that longer life horizons encourage shifting from child quantity to quality. Furthermore, these patterns are not driven by income differences or increased female autonomy arising from pastoral agriculture.

地理死亡率差异数量-质量权衡贝纳-波拉斯假说海拔与人力资本