不要离开我!法国学校关闭与选举结果

Ne me quitte pas! School closures and electoral outcomes in France

Journal of Economic Geography · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了1995至2022年间法国学校关闭对选举结果的因果影响,发现唯一学校关闭使极右翼和左翼得票率分别上升0.527和0.968个百分点,且对主流政党信任度低的选民更倾向极右翼。

Abstract

Abstract This article analyzes the causal impact of school closures on electoral outcomes in France between 1995 and 2022. Using a difference-in-differences design, we show that the closure of the only school in a given municipality leads to an increase in 0.527 percentage points in votes for the populist far right and 0.968 percentage points for the left in presidential elections. Voters prefer the populist far right when their pre-existing levels of trust in mainstream parties are low. The identified electoral effects are absent in municipalities with multiple schools, suggesting that citizens are particularly concerned with the lack of access to public education.

学校关闭选举结果民粹主义法国