生女儿会影响政治偏好吗?基于多项调查的元分析工具研究

Does having daughters affect political preferences? Using meta-analytic tools on many surveys

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 7%
ABS 3

中文导读

利用欧洲社会调查39国数据(n=156,236),通过元分析发现生女儿会小幅提升对性别平等和同性恋权利的支持,但对左右政治偏好和减贫偏好无显著影响。

Abstract

This study investigates whether having daughters impacts political preferences and whether this effect varies across European countries. We estimate effect sizes for 39 countries in the European Social Survey ( n = 156,236) and aggregate estimates using random-effects meta-analysis, following a preregistered analysis plan. We find significant evidence that having daughters increases the preference for gender equality and homosexual rights. However, the meta-analytic effect size estimates are small, with 2.6% (95% CI [1.0%, 4.3%]) and 1.9% (95% CI [0.8%, 3.0%]) of a standard deviation, respectively. The meta-analytic effects of having daughters on left-right political preferences and preferences for reduced income inequality are statistically indistinguishable from zero. The heterogeneity in the effects of having daughters across countries is low, with zero to small heterogeneity for three outcome measures and small to moderate heterogeneity for left-right political preferences, consistent with high generalizability of results across the included countries.

政治偏好性别平等元分析欧洲社会调查