Natural disaster and intergenerational occupational choice in agriculture: Evidence from the US Dust Bowl
研究了美国沙尘暴如何影响农户家庭的代际职业选择，发现年轻农民子女转向非农部门，迁移和上学是主要机制，新政救济缓解了影响。
Abstract This paper examines how a natural disaster, the Dust Bowl, shapes occupational choices in farm households across generations. Using full‐count US census data, I find that young adult sons shift away from self‐employed farming toward wage farm work and nonagricultural sectors after the Dust Bowl. Younger children with affected farming parents are more likely to leave agriculture and earn higher income. Migration and schooling serve as mechanisms, and New Deal relief spending mitigates the Dust Bowl's effects. Overall, the Dust Bowl accelerated occupational reallocation among younger children of farmers and contributed to US mid‐20th century structural change.