基于Logit的精确产品设计

Exact Logit-Based Product Design

Management Science · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究如何通过优化产品属性来最大化市场份额,提出混合整数指数锥规划方法,可精确求解或近优求解,优于传统启发式方法。

Abstract

The share-of-choice product design problem is to find the product, as defined by its attributes, that maximizes market share arising from a collection of customer types or segments. When customers follow a logit model of choice, the market share is given by a weighted sum of logistic probabilities, leading to the logit-based share-of-choice product design problem. In this paper, we develop a methodology for solving this problem to provable optimality. We first analyze the complexity of this problem and show that this problem is theoretically intractable: it is NP-Hard to solve exactly, even when there are only two customer types, and it is furthermore NP-Hard to approximate to within a nontrivial factor. Motivated by the difficulty of this problem, we propose three different mixed-integer exponential cone programs of increasing strength for solving the problem exactly, which allow us to leverage modern integer conic program solvers such as Mosek. Using both synthetic problem instances and instances derived from real conjoint data sets, we show that our methodology can solve large instances to provable optimality or near optimality in operationally feasible time frames and yields solutions that generally achieve higher market share than previously proposed heuristics. This paper was accepted by J. George Shanthikumar, data science. Supplemental Material: The electronic companion and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01774 .

Logit模型产品设计市场份额最大化混合整数锥规划