When Disaster Hits, Governance Splits: Different Effects on Domestic and Inbound Tourism
研究了治理质量如何调节自然灾害对OECD国家入境和国内旅游的不同影响，发现高治理质量能减轻甚至逆转灾难对入境旅游的负面冲击，而低治理质量下国内旅游反而增加。
While natural disasters have the potential to disrupt tourism demand, evidence on their impacts is mixed. This study positions governance quality as a central factor in explaining these divergent outcomes, examining its moderating role in the relationship between natural disasters and inbound and domestic tourism. Using panel data from OECD countries, we show that governance quality reduces, and in many cases reverses, the negative effects of disasters on inbound tourism, with effects persisting into the following year. In contrast, domestic tourism increases upon disasters in countries with low-governance quality. This moderating effect for domestic tourism is evident only for geological disasters, suggesting that governance matters for sudden-onset events. Overall, our results indicate that governance quality reshapes the tourism-disaster relationship, sustaining inbound tourism when strong and resulting in increased domestic travel when weak, underlining the differential effects of governance quality across inbound and domestic tourism.