人力、物质和自动化资本下的经济增长:人口下降的作用

Economic growth with human, physical, and automation capital: The role of population decline

Economics Letters · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了人口下降时,自动化和教育如何内生应对,使得人均产出仍能正增长,并分析了储蓄行为的关键作用及劳动收入份额的变化。

Abstract

We examine the long-run economic consequences of population decline when automation and education respond endogenously to the demographic challenge. We show that, despite negative population growth, positive per capita output growth can be sustained. In equilibrium, output grows in line with physical and human capital accumulation, with household saving behavior playing a central role in sustaining growth. Moreover, the income share of raw labor declines, whereas the share of human capital remains constant.

经济增长人口下降自动化人力资本物质资本