存在隐藏混杂因素时过参数化模型下的在线推断

Online inference under over-parameterized models with hidden confounders

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology · 2026
被引 0 · 同刊同年前 4%
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了在流式数据中,利用过参数化模型在线估计和推断回归系数,同时消除隐藏混杂因素偏差,并发现增加协变量对估计量方差影响很小。

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, we study online estimation and inference of regression coefficients in the presence of hidden confounders by leveraging over-parameterized models. Unlike existing offline approaches that rely on factor and sparse models, our closed-form estimator simultaneously removes hidden-confounder bias and is directly applicable to streaming data. Using tools from random matrix theory, we analyse phase transition phenomena in the variance of the coefficient estimator that arise as the sample size transitions from being smaller than to larger than the number of predictors. Notably, we show that adding more covariates only slightly affects the estimator’s variance, mitigating concerns about variance inflation in over-parameterized settings. We validate the effectiveness of our method for both individual coefficient inference and multiple testing through simulations and applications to two real datasets.

计量经济学统计推断高维数据因果推断