Monetary policy discourse of the ECB and the Fed during the inflation surge
比较了2019年11月至2024年7月欧洲央行与美联储的货币政策沟通,发现欧洲央行更侧重通胀话题,美联储更侧重就业话题,且欧洲央行会议纪要主题更集中。
We compared monetary policy communications of the ECB and the Fed during Nov 2019-Jul 2024. Combining dictionary-based measures, bigram analysis, and Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) topic modeling, we documented how both institutions allocate narrative attention during the pandemic, the subsequent inflation surge, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Dictionary-based evidence shows that inflation-related language is relatively more prominent in ECB communications, whereas employment-related terminology is comparatively more prominent in FOMC communications. Topic model results reinforce this structural difference, revealing a more concentrated thematic structure in ECB minutes and a broader thematic dispersion in FOMC communications, particularly with respect to labor market and financial conditions. These patterns persist in an expanded corpus including policy statements and press conferences. The findings suggest that institutional mandates and crisis dynamics systematically shape the emphasis and framing of central bank communication.