金融中介、杠杆与宏观经济不稳定

Financial Intermediation, Leverage, and Macroeconomic Instability

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2016
被引 51
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了银行杠杆如何影响宏观经济不稳定和福利,发现杠杆增加系统性风险,限制杠杆可降低资产价格波动并提高预期回报。

Abstract

This paper investigates how financial sector leverage affects macroeconomic instability and welfare. In the model, banks borrow (use leverage) to allocate resources to productive projects and pro vide liquidity. When banks do not actively issue new equity, aggregate outcomes depend on the level of equity in the financial sector. Equilibrium is inefficient because agents do not internalize how their decisions affect volatility, aggregate leverage, and the returns on assets. Leverage creates systemic risk, which increases the frequency and duration of crises. Limiting leverage decreases asset price volatility and increases expected returns, which decrease the likelihood that the financial sector is undercapitalized.

金融中介杠杆宏观经济不稳定系统性风险