陪伴我:协调博弈中帮助与承诺的实验研究

Stand by Me—Experiments on Help and Commitment in Coordination Games

Management Science · 2015
被引 41
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

通过实验研究高能力个体如何通过帮助促进协调,发现承诺长期帮助比逐轮选择帮助更能有效帮助群体摆脱低效率陷阱,并构建学习模型解释承诺的必要性。

Abstract

We present experiments studying how high-ability individuals use help to foster efficient coordination. After an initial phase that traps groups in a low-productivity equilibrium, incentives to coordinate are increased, making it possible to escape this performance trap. The design varies whether high-ability individuals can offer help and, if so, whether they must commit to help for an extended period. If help is chosen on a round-by-round basis, the probability of escaping the performance trap is slightly reduced by allowing for help. The likelihood of success significantly improves if high-ability individuals must commit to help for an extended time. We develop and estimate a structural model of sophisticated learning that provides an explanation for why commitment is necessary. The key insight is that potential leaders who are overly optimistic about their ability to teach their followers are too fast to eliminate help in the absence of commitment. Data, as supplemental material, are available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2269 . This paper was accepted by Teck-Hua Ho, behavioral economics.

协调博弈帮助行为承诺机制效率陷阱